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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.56+5.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+4.70vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.85+0.32vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.25+0.76vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo1.34+2.31vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.43-1.61vs Predicted
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7Colgate University0.89+1.17vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.97+0.07vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.03-0.96vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.43-1.24vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy0.00-1.33vs Predicted
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13University of Toronto-1.17-0.24vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.12-3.10vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.67-11.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.1%1st Place
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3.32Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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4.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.250.1%1st Place
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7.31University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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4.39Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.17Colgate University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.07George Washington University0.970.0%1st Place
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8.04Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.76Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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12.76University of Toronto-1.170.0%1st Place
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10.9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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3.69George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Brown | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| James Gardner | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 24.1% | 20.2% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Nugent | 11.8% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Luke Miller | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Irene Jacqz | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Gordon | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 1.3% |
| Michael Ince | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Clifton Kartner | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Harmen Rockler | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 7.5% |
| Jack Pinnell | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 22.9% | 12.5% |
| Maurice Jakesch | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 19.3% | 57.3% |
| Cassaundra Hobbs | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 22.7% | 16.9% |
| Hannah McNomee | 20.2% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.