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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Olin College of Engineering0.22+2.12vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67+2.35vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University-0.17+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.09+1.06vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31-3.02vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.90-0.79vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.79-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Olin College of Engineering0.2218.4%1st Place
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4.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.678.0%1st Place
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3.71Northeastern University-0.1711.6%1st Place
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5.06University of New Hampshire-1.094.7%1st Place
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1.98Salve Regina University1.3146.0%1st Place
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5.21Williams College-0.904.9%1st Place
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4.57Middlebury College-0.796.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jagielski | 18.4% | 21.1% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Caleb Burt | 8.0% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 13.7% |
| Sylvia Burns | 11.6% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 11.4% | 5.9% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 4.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 22.1% | 28.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 46.0% | 26.7% | 16.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 20.9% | 32.5% |
| Grace Augspurger | 6.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.