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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo1.34+6.04vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.85+0.23vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.97+4.09vs Predicted
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5Columbia University2.43-0.70vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.25-1.20vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.43+2.77vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.03-0.25vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.56-2.46vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-2.98vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.67-7.25vs Predicted
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12Colgate University0.89-3.55vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy0.00-2.34vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.12-3.12vs Predicted
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15University of Toronto-1.17-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04University of Buffalo1.340.1%1st Place
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3.23Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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8.09George Washington University0.970.0%1st Place
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4.3Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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4.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.250.1%1st Place
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9.77Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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7.75Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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6.54Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.1%1st Place
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3.75George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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8.45Colgate University0.890.0%1st Place
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10.66U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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10.88Rochester Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.72University of Toronto-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Miller | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 24.9% | 21.1% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ince | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Irene Jacqz | 13.7% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Nugent | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 6.8% |
| Clifton Kartner | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Casey Brown | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| James Gardner | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 17.5% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Gordon | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 1.6% |
| Jack Pinnell | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 18.2% | 21.1% | 12.4% |
| Cassaundra Hobbs | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 25.2% | 15.2% |
| Maurice Jakesch | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 15.5% | 59.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.