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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67+3.38vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+0.02vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.90+2.11vs Predicted
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4Olin College of Engineering0.22-0.94vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.09+0.09vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.17-2.24vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.79-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.678.5%1st Place
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2.02Salve Regina University1.3144.2%1st Place
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5.11Williams College-0.905.0%1st Place
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3.06Olin College of Engineering0.2218.2%1st Place
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5.09University of New Hampshire-1.095.1%1st Place
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3.76Northeastern University-0.1712.1%1st Place
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4.58Middlebury College-0.796.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Burt | 8.5% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 18.9% | 19.6% | 13.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 44.2% | 27.9% | 15.2% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 31.4% |
| James Jagielski | 18.2% | 23.2% | 22.1% | 18.1% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 5.1% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 21.1% | 29.3% |
| Sylvia Burns | 12.1% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 19.0% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 5.8% |
| Grace Augspurger | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 19.9% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.