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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+0.99vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.22+1.08vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University-0.17+0.72vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.09+1.10vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-0.59vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.90-0.89vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.79-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99Salve Regina University1.3144.5%1st Place
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3.08Olin College of Engineering0.2218.5%1st Place
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3.72Northeastern University-0.1712.8%1st Place
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5.1University of New Hampshire-1.095.1%1st Place
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4.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.676.8%1st Place
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5.11Williams College-0.904.8%1st Place
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4.58Middlebury College-0.797.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 44.5% | 28.5% | 15.1% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 18.5% | 23.2% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 12.8% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 6.0% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 21.8% | 29.5% |
| Caleb Burt | 6.8% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 14.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 21.2% | 29.9% |
| Grace Augspurger | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 18.9% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.