Race 3B

north-fall-2-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jennifer Borshoff 24.1% 21.4% 16.3% 11.5% 8.7% 7.1% 5.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 4.5% 5.6% 7.0% 8.5% 8.0% 9.2% 10.2% 11.0% 12.4% 8.2% 8.7% 4.1% 2.2% 0.4%
Alex Nugent 13.6% 12.3% 12.2% 11.1% 13.0% 12.4% 9.0% 7.2% 4.7% 2.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Hannah McNomee 18.7% 16.9% 16.6% 14.2% 10.4% 8.6% 6.8% 4.5% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 12.3% 15.4% 14.5% 15.0% 11.1% 10.9% 7.8% 6.4% 3.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Jack Pinnell 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 2.9% 2.7% 3.6% 4.4% 5.4% 9.3% 12.5% 16.4% 23.0% 13.8%
Clifton Kartner 4.1% 4.7% 5.6% 6.0% 7.1% 7.2% 8.4% 11.3% 10.1% 11.5% 10.4% 8.0% 3.9% 1.7%
Jeffrey Gordon 3.3% 3.9% 4.2% 5.1% 6.2% 6.1% 8.4% 8.6% 11.0% 12.2% 10.4% 10.7% 7.1% 2.8%
Harmen Rockler 2.2% 2.8% 1.7% 2.2% 3.8% 5.0% 5.0% 6.3% 8.6% 12.3% 14.9% 16.2% 13.8% 5.2%
Casey Brown 5.8% 6.6% 6.8% 8.4% 9.6% 11.7% 10.9% 10.6% 10.4% 8.7% 5.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
James Gardner 5.3% 4.5% 6.6% 8.3% 8.8% 9.7% 10.1% 11.5% 11.4% 8.0% 7.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.5%
Cassaundra Hobbs 0.9% 0.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.2% 2.3% 3.5% 3.8% 6.3% 8.2% 11.2% 17.6% 24.4% 14.8%
Michael Ince 3.9% 3.4% 4.4% 5.1% 6.9% 6.1% 9.4% 10.6% 10.7% 12.0% 11.4% 8.5% 6.0% 1.6%
Maurice Jakesch 0.5% 0.1% 0.6% 0.5% 1.3% 1.0% 1.3% 1.1% 2.5% 3.5% 4.4% 8.7% 15.8% 58.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.