Race 4B

north-fall-2-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Irene Jacqz 14.9% 15.7% 15.6% 12.9% 10.7% 9.9% 7.5% 5.9% 2.7% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Nugent 13.4% 12.5% 13.6% 13.8% 11.8% 11.0% 8.7% 5.7% 4.5% 2.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 22.9% 21.0% 16.4% 12.8% 10.1% 7.3% 5.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 4.2% 4.5% 7.6% 7.5% 7.5% 9.1% 11.6% 11.7% 10.6% 8.7% 8.0% 5.4% 3.1% 0.5%
Clifton Kartner 3.2% 3.4% 5.5% 6.2% 6.5% 7.8% 6.9% 11.0% 11.2% 12.3% 8.8% 10.2% 5.3% 1.7%
Casey Brown 6.2% 5.6% 6.6% 8.2% 9.6% 11.9% 11.0% 11.1% 10.8% 7.5% 7.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Michael Ince 3.6% 4.0% 5.4% 6.9% 5.8% 7.7% 8.7% 9.7% 9.5% 12.7% 11.9% 8.5% 4.1% 1.5%
Hannah McNomee 19.5% 18.2% 14.6% 12.2% 13.0% 7.7% 6.3% 5.2% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cassaundra Hobbs 1.6% 1.3% 1.8% 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 3.1% 3.6% 6.4% 9.0% 12.6% 16.8% 23.4% 15.1%
Harmen Rockler 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 4.5% 6.1% 7.2% 9.2% 11.4% 12.8% 14.7% 16.1% 5.7%
Jeffrey Gordon 2.5% 3.9% 2.6% 4.8% 5.8% 7.0% 9.6% 8.4% 12.5% 11.3% 11.1% 9.7% 9.0% 1.8%
James Gardner 4.4% 6.1% 5.6% 7.6% 10.3% 9.9% 10.2% 11.2% 10.7% 9.4% 6.9% 4.4% 2.6% 0.7%
Jack Pinnell 1.6% 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 2.7% 3.5% 3.8% 5.0% 6.8% 8.3% 12.1% 17.8% 20.1% 13.0%
Maurice Jakesch 0.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 2.9% 5.2% 8.4% 14.9% 59.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.