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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University-0.17+2.77vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.22+1.09vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31-1.04vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.09+1.07vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.79-0.43vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-1.57vs Predicted
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7Williams College-0.90-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Northeastern University-0.1711.2%1st Place
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3.09Olin College of Engineering0.2219.4%1st Place
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1.96Salve Regina University1.3145.0%1st Place
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5.07University of New Hampshire-1.095.3%1st Place
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4.57Middlebury College-0.796.2%1st Place
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4.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.677.6%1st Place
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5.1Williams College-0.905.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Burns | 11.2% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 6.2% |
| James Jagielski | 19.4% | 21.1% | 22.0% | 17.1% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 45.0% | 28.4% | 16.2% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 22.6% | 27.9% |
| Grace Augspurger | 6.2% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 17.8% |
| Caleb Burt | 7.6% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 15.0% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 20.8% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.