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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo1.34+6.06vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.43+2.21vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.25+1.70vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85-0.64vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+2.08vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.56-0.40vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.03-0.28vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.97-0.88vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.43-0.27vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.67-7.23vs Predicted
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12University of Toronto-1.17+0.82vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy0.00-2.32vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.12-3.13vs Predicted
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15Colgate University0.89-6.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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4.21Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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4.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.250.1%1st Place
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3.36Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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7.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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6.6Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
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7.72Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.12George Washington University0.970.0%1st Place
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9.73Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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3.77George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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12.82University of Toronto-1.170.0%1st Place
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10.68U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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10.87Rochester Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.25Colgate University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Miller | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 14.8% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Nugent | 12.4% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 23.3% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Casey Brown | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Clifton Kartner | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Michael Ince | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 1.2% |
| Harmen Rockler | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 5.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 17.8% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maurice Jakesch | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 61.7% |
| Jack Pinnell | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 22.4% | 12.7% |
| Cassaundra Hobbs | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 25.7% | 14.6% |
| Jeffrey Gordon | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.