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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.25+3.69vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.56+3.35vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85-0.61vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.03+3.00vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.43+3.64vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.67-3.21vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo1.34-1.06vs Predicted
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9Colgate University0.89-0.66vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.97-1.70vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.43-6.68vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy0.00-1.28vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-6.04vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.12-3.17vs Predicted
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15University of Toronto-1.17-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.250.1%1st Place
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6.35Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
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3.39Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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8.0Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.64Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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3.79George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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6.94University of Buffalo1.340.1%1st Place
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8.34Colgate University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.3George Washington University0.970.0%1st Place
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4.32Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.1%1st Place
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10.83Rochester Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.73University of Toronto-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Nugent | 12.3% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 23.2% | 21.1% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clifton Kartner | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.8% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 6.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 19.2% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Miller | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Jeffrey Gordon | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Michael Ince | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Irene Jacqz | 12.7% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pinnell | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 13.4% |
| James Gardner | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Cassaundra Hobbs | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 26.7% | 14.3% |
| Maurice Jakesch | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.