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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University0.74+5.33vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90+2.49vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University0.53+3.18vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.58+5.07vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.68+0.15vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80+7.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.42+3.12vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-2.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.33-0.63vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40-1.26vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+2.42vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.39-2.49vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.70-2.59vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.69vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-1.67vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.62-6.54vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-9.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Arizona State University0.748.8%1st Place
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4.49University of Southern California0.9016.5%1st Place
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6.18San Diego State University0.539.4%1st Place
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9.07University of California at San Diego-0.584.3%1st Place
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5.15University of California at San Diego0.6812.7%1st Place
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13.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.801.2%1st Place
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10.12University of California at San Diego-0.423.3%1st Place
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5.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8311.9%1st Place
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8.37University of California at San Diego-0.334.5%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Santa Cruz-0.405.1%1st Place
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13.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.451.4%1st Place
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9.51Arizona State University-0.394.5%1st Place
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10.41University of California at San Diego-0.702.8%1st Place
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12.31University of California at San Diego-1.461.8%1st Place
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13.33University of California at Los Angeles-1.821.3%1st Place
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9.46Arizona State University-0.623.9%1st Place
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7.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.276.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Boylan | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 16.5% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Noah Barton | 12.7% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schackel | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 24.1% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Jack Kisling | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 24.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 14.7% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 24.9% |
| Gavin Hirz | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Samuel Groom | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.