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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo1.34+6.03vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+1.28vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.25+1.68vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.43+0.28vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+2.06vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.67-2.20vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.03+0.72vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.56-1.50vs Predicted
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9Colgate University0.89-0.53vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.12+1.02vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.97-2.75vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.43-3.35vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy0.00-3.45vs Predicted
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15University of Toronto-1.17-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03University of Buffalo1.340.1%1st Place
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3.28Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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4.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.250.1%1st Place
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4.28Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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3.8George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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7.72Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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6.5Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
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8.47Colgate University0.890.0%1st Place
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11.02Rochester Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.25George Washington University0.970.0%1st Place
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9.65Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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12.72University of Toronto-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Miller | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 23.4% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Nugent | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 13.9% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 18.1% | 17.3% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clifton Kartner | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Casey Brown | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jeffrey Gordon | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Cassaundra Hobbs | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 25.2% | 16.5% |
| Michael Ince | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 6.7% |
| Jack Pinnell | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 20.6% | 12.4% |
| Maurice Jakesch | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.