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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.61+2.35vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+1.47vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.76+2.28vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.50+1.89vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+0.73vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-0.95vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.78-2.06vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.61-0.41vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.80-1.63vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.00-3.24vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.29-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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3.47Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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5.28Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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5.73Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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4.94College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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7.37University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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6.76Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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10.58Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Blecher | 21.6% | 19.4% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 21.4% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 0.1% |
| Christina Pryne | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 1.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 1.0% |
| Megan Magill | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Heausler | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Christine Porter | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 27.8% | 4.8% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 21.7% | 5.2% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Hughes | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 85.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.