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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.16+0.90vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-0.70+2.15vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.19-0.07vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.62-1.49vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.83+0.28vs Predicted
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6Mercyhurst University-0.76-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Queen's University1.1645.5%1st Place
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4.15Penn State University-0.706.4%1st Place
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2.93Syracuse University0.1916.1%1st Place
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2.51Rochester Institute of Technology0.6224.2%1st Place
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5.28Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.831.9%1st Place
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4.21Mercyhurst University-0.765.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Fair | 45.5% | 29.4% | 17.0% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 6.4% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 24.3% | 31.2% | 16.4% |
| Alexa Whitman | 16.1% | 22.9% | 27.2% | 21.3% | 10.3% | 2.2% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 24.2% | 29.0% | 25.4% | 15.1% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Serena Aumick | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 19.4% | 62.3% |
| Jacob Fritts | 5.9% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 24.2% | 32.0% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.