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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.69+5.47vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University2.37+1.00vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.54+3.77vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.25+4.66vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.20+2.58vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.72-3.53vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University1.25-1.91vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.31-4.04vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas1.41-5.27vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago-0.15-2.72vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-0.60-2.63vs Predicted
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13Denison University-1.36-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
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3.0Northwestern University2.370.2%1st Place
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6.77University of Illinois0.540.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Minnesota0.200.0%1st Place
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2.47University of Wisconsin2.720.3%1st Place
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5.09Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
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4.96University of Michigan1.310.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Saint Thomas1.410.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Chicago-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.37Marquette University-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.61Denison University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Julian | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Michael Cornew | 22.9% | 23.0% | 20.2% | 14.7% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Dawson | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| John O'Brien | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 18.1% | 10.6% |
| Joe Lund | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 5.4% |
| Brendan Boylan | 34.4% | 25.5% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Trost | 9.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Sammy Barbour | 8.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Brandon Wilson | 9.5% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Lubin | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 7.9% |
| Philip Niles | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 23.3% | 21.3% |
| Blair Cathcart | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 11.3% | 19.7% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.