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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.64+4.21vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.71+3.25vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.33+2.74vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.42+5.20vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.31+0.95vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University1.47-0.09vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-2.55+0.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.86-0.51vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-4.27vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.40vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-2.97vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22-2.41vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.39-0.65vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-1.38-0.64vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.98-0.56vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-0.82-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Stanford University1.6411.8%1st Place
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5.25University of Southern California1.7112.6%1st Place
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5.74Western Washington University1.3310.2%1st Place
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9.2University of California at San Diego0.423.5%1st Place
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5.95University of Hawaii1.319.3%1st Place
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5.91San Diego State University1.479.6%1st Place
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7.19University of Washington-2.557.1%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Berkeley0.865.5%1st Place
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4.73University of California at Santa Barbara1.7814.5%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.3%1st Place
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8.03California Poly Maritime Academy0.534.7%1st Place
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9.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.223.8%1st Place
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12.35Arizona State University-0.391.2%1st Place
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13.36Santa Clara University-1.380.6%1st Place
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14.44California State University Channel Islands-1.980.5%1st Place
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12.98University of Oregon-0.820.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whidden | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Everett McAvoy | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Miller | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 14.5% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sam Jennings | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Parker Ziegler | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 9.5% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 18.4% | 25.1% | 22.9% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 20.4% | 48.5% |
| Sadie Creemer | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 18.9% | 24.7% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.