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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+2.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Military Academy0.00+8.52vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.43+6.55vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.67-0.18vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.81+0.98vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.43-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo1.34-0.05vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-1.05vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.25-4.17vs Predicted
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10Colgate University0.89-1.47vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.97-2.68vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.12-2.01vs Predicted
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14Queen's University1.03-6.01vs Predicted
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15University of Toronto-1.17-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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9.55Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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3.82George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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5.98Webb Institute1.810.1%1st Place
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4.45Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Buffalo1.340.1%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.1%1st Place
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4.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.250.1%1st Place
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8.53Colgate University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.32George Washington University0.970.0%1st Place
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10.99Rochester Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.99Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.75University of Toronto-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 23.4% | 20.5% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pinnell | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 21.7% | 11.8% |
| Harmen Rockler | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 5.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 17.0% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Froriep | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Irene Jacqz | 14.2% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Miller | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| James Gardner | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Alex Nugent | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Gordon | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Michael Ince | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 1.6% |
| Cassaundra Hobbs | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 23.8% | 15.5% |
| Clifton Kartner | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Maurice Jakesch | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 15.5% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.