Race 10B

north-fall-2-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Luke Miller 4.1% 5.0% 7.0% 8.4% 8.0% 9.5% 9.4% 10.7% 12.3% 10.2% 6.6% 4.8% 2.8% 1.2%
Harmen Rockler 1.4% 2.7% 3.1% 3.7% 3.5% 4.9% 6.5% 6.0% 9.1% 11.4% 13.5% 17.0% 11.1% 6.1%
Dylan Froriep 8.6% 8.6% 8.5% 9.1% 10.1% 11.3% 11.4% 11.2% 8.9% 6.7% 3.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Jennifer Borshoff 22.1% 19.1% 16.2% 14.9% 9.8% 7.9% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 12.8% 14.5% 14.5% 14.6% 12.4% 8.6% 9.4% 5.8% 3.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Clifton Kartner 3.0% 4.3% 4.4% 4.5% 6.1% 7.5% 8.3% 10.3% 12.3% 11.6% 12.1% 9.1% 5.4% 1.1%
Hannah McNomee 21.1% 16.9% 17.1% 13.8% 10.2% 7.9% 5.7% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
James Gardner 5.9% 5.7% 6.9% 6.6% 8.9% 9.2% 9.9% 11.1% 10.5% 9.2% 8.9% 4.8% 2.0% 0.4%
Maurice Jakesch 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 1.0% 0.5% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 2.6% 2.7% 3.9% 7.5% 17.9% 59.2%
Jeffrey Gordon 3.0% 3.0% 3.4% 3.5% 5.7% 6.7% 9.3% 9.3% 12.0% 11.7% 13.0% 11.0% 7.3% 1.1%
Cassaundra Hobbs 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 2.1% 3.1% 3.0% 4.6% 5.8% 8.7% 10.8% 16.3% 23.1% 18.0%
Michael Ince 2.3% 4.2% 3.3% 5.4% 5.7% 7.9% 9.3% 10.5% 9.8% 11.7% 11.6% 11.0% 6.1% 1.2%
Jack Pinnell 1.5% 0.9% 1.5% 2.4% 3.1% 2.7% 3.4% 5.2% 5.7% 9.1% 13.1% 16.5% 23.3% 11.6%
Alex Nugent 12.8% 12.9% 12.2% 11.4% 13.9% 11.7% 8.4% 7.6% 4.3% 2.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.