Race 11B

north-fall-2-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jennifer Borshoff 21.7% 22.4% 16.1% 11.0% 9.9% 7.6% 5.0% 3.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Nugent 14.1% 12.4% 13.6% 11.7% 12.5% 12.7% 7.6% 5.8% 4.9% 2.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Clifton Kartner 4.1% 4.1% 5.1% 5.4% 6.7% 6.7% 7.6% 7.7% 11.7% 13.9% 12.5% 8.2% 5.0% 1.3%
James Gardner 4.2% 5.8% 7.0% 8.9% 6.9% 10.4% 11.2% 9.7% 10.8% 9.9% 8.4% 4.4% 2.0% 0.4%
Dylan Froriep 6.9% 7.5% 8.9% 11.2% 11.1% 11.7% 10.6% 9.6% 8.9% 6.1% 3.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Harmen Rockler 1.7% 2.2% 2.3% 3.5% 3.5% 2.0% 5.8% 8.0% 8.8% 10.6% 14.6% 16.5% 13.4% 7.1%
Jeffrey Gordon 3.3% 3.6% 5.4% 6.0% 5.0% 7.0% 7.6% 9.8% 10.1% 12.6% 12.6% 9.5% 6.1% 1.4%
Jack Pinnell 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 2.3% 2.6% 3.6% 3.6% 5.6% 5.6% 7.1% 13.4% 15.2% 21.7% 14.4%
Luke Miller 5.2% 3.8% 6.2% 6.5% 7.7% 8.9% 10.5% 13.2% 10.4% 11.0% 7.7% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8%
Irene Jacqz 13.2% 14.6% 13.8% 13.0% 12.9% 9.8% 9.4% 5.7% 3.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah McNomee 19.3% 17.0% 14.1% 13.4% 11.6% 9.9% 6.2% 3.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Ince 2.8% 3.4% 3.8% 5.1% 7.0% 6.3% 9.0% 11.3% 12.1% 12.7% 8.8% 9.6% 6.5% 1.6%
Cassaundra Hobbs 1.9% 0.9% 1.7% 1.2% 1.6% 2.8% 4.3% 5.0% 4.8% 7.5% 10.9% 18.1% 25.2% 14.1%
Maurice Jakesch 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 1.6% 1.3% 3.1% 2.5% 4.1% 9.0% 16.4% 58.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.