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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University0.74+5.05vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University0.53+3.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.42+6.95vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+0.92vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California-0.01+2.17vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+1.31vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.68-2.10vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40+0.37vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.89vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+3.36vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.39-1.80vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.46+0.48vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.62-3.70vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.58-5.17vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.33-6.97vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-2.56vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.94-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Arizona State University0.7410.3%1st Place
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5.92San Diego State University0.5310.0%1st Place
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9.95University of California at San Diego-0.423.7%1st Place
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4.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8314.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Southern California-0.018.0%1st Place
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7.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.277.2%1st Place
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4.9University of California at San Diego0.6815.1%1st Place
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8.37University of California at Santa Cruz-0.404.7%1st Place
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9.89University of California at San Diego-0.703.5%1st Place
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13.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.451.2%1st Place
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9.2Arizona State University-0.393.8%1st Place
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12.48University of California at San Diego-1.461.4%1st Place
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9.3Arizona State University-0.624.1%1st Place
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8.83University of California at San Diego-0.584.9%1st Place
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8.03University of California at San Diego-0.336.2%1st Place
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13.44University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.9%1st Place
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13.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.940.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Boylan | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Jack Kisling | 14.1% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Desai | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Groom | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barton | 15.1% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 22.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 13.7% |
| Gavin Hirz | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Sean Lipps | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Sebastien Franck | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 24.4% |
| Marie Friauf | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 19.7% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.