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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University2.43+3.29vs Predicted
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2Colgate University0.89+6.23vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.85+0.44vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+3.02vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.97+3.31vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.03+2.11vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.43+2.40vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.25-3.24vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.12+2.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy0.00+0.78vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.81-4.96vs Predicted
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13University of Toronto-1.17-0.23vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.67-10.25vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo1.34-7.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.23Colgate University0.890.0%1st Place
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3.44Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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8.31George Washington University0.970.0%1st Place
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8.11Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.4Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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4.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.250.1%1st Place
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11.01Rochester Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.78U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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6.04Webb Institute1.810.1%1st Place
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12.77University of Toronto-1.170.0%1st Place
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3.75George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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7.09University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Jacqz | 14.8% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Gordon | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 23.8% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Michael Ince | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Clifton Kartner | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Harmen Rockler | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 4.9% |
| Alex Nugent | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassaundra Hobbs | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 18.2% | 25.8% | 14.9% |
| Jack Pinnell | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 22.8% | 14.5% |
| Dylan Froriep | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Maurice Jakesch | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 15.6% | 60.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 19.4% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Miller | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.