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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+2.40vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+4.75vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo1.34+4.11vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.25+0.80vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.03+3.16vs Predicted
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6Colgate University0.89+2.55vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.67-3.31vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.97-0.91vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.81-4.03vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.43-1.22vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.43-7.61vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy0.00-2.29vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.12-3.15vs Predicted
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15University of Toronto-1.17-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Buffalo1.340.1%1st Place
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4.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.250.1%1st Place
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8.16Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.55Colgate University0.890.0%1st Place
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3.69George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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8.09George Washington University0.970.0%1st Place
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5.97Webb Institute1.810.1%1st Place
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9.78Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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4.39Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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10.85Rochester Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.75University of Toronto-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 22.6% | 20.3% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Luke Miller | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Alex Nugent | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clifton Kartner | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Jeffrey Gordon | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 1.9% |
| Hannah McNomee | 19.5% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ince | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Dylan Froriep | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 7.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 14.1% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pinnell | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 21.4% | 12.7% |
| Cassaundra Hobbs | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 23.5% | 14.9% |
| Maurice Jakesch | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.