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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+2.40vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.43+7.49vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.25+1.75vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.43+0.33vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+2.12vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.97+2.34vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.81-1.28vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo1.34-0.80vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.03-0.87vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.67-6.20vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-0.12+0.04vs Predicted
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12University of Toronto-1.17+0.80vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy0.00-3.38vs Predicted
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15Colgate University0.89-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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9.49Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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4.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.250.1%1st Place
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4.33Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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8.34George Washington University0.970.0%1st Place
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5.72Webb Institute1.810.1%1st Place
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7.2University of Buffalo1.340.1%1st Place
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8.13Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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3.8George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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11.04Rochester Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.8University of Toronto-1.170.0%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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8.27Colgate University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 23.2% | 20.4% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 5.9% |
| Alex Nugent | 12.5% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 13.2% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Michael Ince | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Dylan Froriep | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Miller | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Clifton Kartner | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 17.9% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassaundra Hobbs | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 17.9% | 25.3% | 15.9% |
| Maurice Jakesch | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 18.4% | 58.9% |
| Jack Pinnell | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 20.8% | 14.1% |
| Jeffrey Gordon | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.