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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University0.53+4.89vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University0.74+4.10vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.68+1.98vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+1.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.58+3.79vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.42+3.76vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-0.01+0.07vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-0.68vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.33-0.86vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.46+2.68vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.05vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.39-2.65vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+0.35vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.62-4.56vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40-6.44vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-2.84vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89San Diego State University0.5310.4%1st Place
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6.1Arizona State University0.7410.4%1st Place
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4.98University of California at San Diego0.6814.5%1st Place
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5.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8314.3%1st Place
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8.79University of California at San Diego-0.584.3%1st Place
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9.76University of California at San Diego-0.422.9%1st Place
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7.07University of Southern California-0.017.8%1st Place
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7.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.277.6%1st Place
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8.14University of California at San Diego-0.335.6%1st Place
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12.68University of California at San Diego-1.461.8%1st Place
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9.95University of California at San Diego-0.703.5%1st Place
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9.35Arizona State University-0.394.5%1st Place
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13.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.451.2%1st Place
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9.44Arizona State University-0.623.9%1st Place
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8.56University of California at Santa Cruz-0.404.3%1st Place
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13.16University of California at Los Angeles-1.821.9%1st Place
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13.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.800.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Hopkins | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 14.5% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 14.3% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Eleanor Desai | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Sebastien Franck | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 14.9% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 24.6% |
| Gavin Hirz | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 24.1% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.