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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+2.34vs Predicted
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2Colgate University0.49+7.16vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.67+0.70vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo1.34+3.09vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.97+3.19vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.810.00vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.25-2.51vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.43-3.73vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-2.05vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.43-0.32vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy0.00-0.32vs Predicted
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12Queen's University1.03-4.04vs Predicted
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14University of Toronto-1.17-1.32vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.12-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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9.16Colgate University0.490.0%1st Place
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3.7George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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7.09University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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8.19George Washington University0.970.0%1st Place
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6.0Webb Institute1.810.1%1st Place
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4.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.250.1%1st Place
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4.27Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.1%1st Place
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9.68Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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10.68U. S. Military Academy0.000.0%1st Place
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7.96Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.68University of Toronto-1.170.0%1st Place
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10.82Rochester Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 23.7% | 21.2% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Beals | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
| Hannah McNomee | 19.3% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Miller | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Michael Ince | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Dylan Froriep | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Nugent | 14.0% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 15.0% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Harmen Rockler | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 5.8% |
| Jack Pinnell | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 21.4% | 12.8% |
| Clifton Kartner | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Maurice Jakesch | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 16.5% | 58.8% |
| Cassaundra Hobbs | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 24.7% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.