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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Brown University3.27-0.30vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.54-0.72vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.48-1.65vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.01-0.59vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-0.46-1.16vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.20-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Brown University3.270.5%1st Place
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2.28Tufts University2.540.3%1st Place
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2.35Northeastern University2.480.2%1st Place
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4.41McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.84Sacred Heart University-0.460.0%1st Place
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5.41Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Allman | 50.0% | 32.2% | 15.3% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 26.1% | 28.8% | 36.5% | 7.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 21.9% | 31.7% | 37.0% | 8.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Simon Li | 1.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 44.0% | 33.1% | 12.3% |
| Topher Tortolani | 0.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 26.2% | 38.1% | 28.5% |
| Earl Lin | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 11.1% | 27.1% | 59.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.