← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at San Diego-0.33+7.18vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego-0.58+6.79vs Predicted
-
3Arizona State University0.74+3.13vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-0.42+5.76vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-0.70+4.86vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-0.97vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-1.46+5.47vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego0.68-3.05vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California-0.01-1.69vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+3.27vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40-2.58vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University0.53-6.13vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University-0.39-3.72vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-6.65vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-1.52vs Predicted
-
16Arizona State University-0.62-6.57vs Predicted
-
17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.18University of California at San Diego-0.335.3%1st Place
-
8.79University of California at San Diego-0.584.7%1st Place
-
6.13Arizona State University0.7410.3%1st Place
-
9.76University of California at San Diego-0.423.1%1st Place
-
9.86University of California at San Diego-0.703.7%1st Place
-
5.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8313.7%1st Place
-
12.47University of California at San Diego-1.461.4%1st Place
-
4.95University of California at San Diego0.6815.4%1st Place
-
7.31University of Southern California-0.017.2%1st Place
-
13.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.451.3%1st Place
-
8.42University of California at Santa Cruz-0.405.7%1st Place
-
5.87San Diego State University0.5311.7%1st Place
-
9.28Arizona State University-0.394.0%1st Place
-
7.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.276.7%1st Place
-
13.48University of California at Los Angeles-1.821.4%1st Place
-
9.43Arizona State University-0.623.8%1st Place
-
13.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.800.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Franck | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Sean Lipps | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Boylan | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Jack Kisling | 13.7% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 14.8% |
| Noah Barton | 15.4% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Desai | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 18.8% | 22.9% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Samuel Groom | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 25.6% |
| Gavin Hirz | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.