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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.27+0.71vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.48+0.32vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.54-0.71vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.46-2.18vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.20-2.57vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.01-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71Brown University3.270.5%1st Place
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2.32Northeastern University2.480.2%1st Place
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2.29Tufts University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.82Sacred Heart University-0.460.0%1st Place
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5.43Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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4.45McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Allman | 49.9% | 31.9% | 15.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 24.9% | 28.3% | 37.7% | 8.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 23.1% | 34.0% | 34.7% | 7.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Topher Tortolani | 0.7% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 25.8% | 42.0% | 25.0% |
| Earl Lin | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 12.0% | 22.6% | 62.4% |
| Simon Li | 1.1% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 44.0% | 34.1% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.