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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.27+0.71vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.48+0.33vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.54-1.70vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.01-1.59vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.46-3.15vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.20-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71Brown University3.270.5%1st Place
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2.33Northeastern University2.480.2%1st Place
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2.3Tufts University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.41McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.85Sacred Heart University-0.460.0%1st Place
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5.41Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Allman | 50.0% | 31.9% | 15.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 24.9% | 27.7% | 38.1% | 8.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 23.1% | 33.5% | 34.7% | 7.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Simon Li | 1.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 43.7% | 33.1% | 12.3% |
| Topher Tortolani | 0.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 26.5% | 38.1% | 28.5% |
| Earl Lin | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 11.0% | 27.2% | 59.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.