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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University0.74+4.97vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.68+2.78vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.46+9.23vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+8.96vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.62+4.16vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.70+3.49vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.58+1.53vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University0.53-2.17vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-1.89vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40-1.77vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California-0.01-3.98vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.39-2.96vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-0.01vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.33-6.19vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-10.14vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.94-2.45vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.93-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Arizona State University0.7410.7%1st Place
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4.78University of California at San Diego0.6814.9%1st Place
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12.23University of California at San Diego-1.461.7%1st Place
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12.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.451.1%1st Place
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9.16Arizona State University-0.624.9%1st Place
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9.49University of California at San Diego-0.703.6%1st Place
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8.53University of California at San Diego-0.585.1%1st Place
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5.83San Diego State University0.539.6%1st Place
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7.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.277.0%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Santa Cruz-0.405.7%1st Place
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7.02University of Southern California-0.017.9%1st Place
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9.04Arizona State University-0.393.5%1st Place
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12.99University of California at Los Angeles-1.821.1%1st Place
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7.81University of California at San Diego-0.335.5%1st Place
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4.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8315.8%1st Place
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13.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.940.9%1st Place
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13.44University of California at San Diego-1.931.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Boylan | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barton | 14.9% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 11.5% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 17.2% |
| Gavin Hirz | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Sean Lipps | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Eleanor Desai | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 19.1% |
| Sebastien Franck | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Kisling | 15.8% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie Friauf | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 21.6% |
| Joseph Weil | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.