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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+3.73vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.42+7.38vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.33+2.93vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.47+1.93vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.86+2.70vs Predicted
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6Stanford University1.64-0.79vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.71-1.62vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22+1.64vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.31-2.88vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-1.62vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.39+1.72vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon0.11-1.22vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-4.22vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-2.55-6.79vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.54-0.64vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-1.38-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73University of California at Santa Barbara1.7815.3%1st Place
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9.38University of California at San Diego0.423.5%1st Place
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5.93Western Washington University1.339.6%1st Place
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5.93San Diego State University1.479.8%1st Place
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7.7University of California at Berkeley0.865.0%1st Place
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5.21Stanford University1.6412.8%1st Place
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5.38University of Southern California1.7111.8%1st Place
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9.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.223.0%1st Place
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6.12University of Hawaii1.318.8%1st Place
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8.38California Poly Maritime Academy0.534.6%1st Place
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12.72Arizona State University-0.391.3%1st Place
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10.78University of Oregon0.112.2%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.9%1st Place
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7.21University of Washington-2.556.0%1st Place
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14.36California State University Channel Islands-1.540.4%1st Place
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13.74Santa Clara University-1.380.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Seawards | 15.3% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Adam Turloff | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whidden | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Everett McAvoy | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Jennings | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 19.6% | 24.3% | 14.1% |
| Emily Avey | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 10.4% | 3.3% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Maxwell Miller | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brent Lin | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 11.2% | 21.3% | 47.8% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 26.2% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.