← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.27+0.71vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.48+0.33vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.54-0.71vs Predicted
-
6Sacred Heart University-0.46-1.20vs Predicted
-
8McGill University-0.01-3.53vs Predicted
-
9Wesleyan University-1.20-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.71Brown University3.270.5%1st Place
-
2.33Northeastern University2.480.2%1st Place
-
2.29Tufts University2.540.2%1st Place
-
4.8Sacred Heart University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
4.47McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
-
5.41Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Allman | 50.0% | 32.1% | 15.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 24.5% | 28.4% | 38.0% | 8.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 23.1% | 33.6% | 35.0% | 7.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Topher Tortolani | 0.7% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 28.0% | 40.8% | 24.6% |
| Simon Li | 1.3% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 41.5% | 32.5% | 15.3% |
| Earl Lin | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 12.2% | 25.1% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.