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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.27+0.70vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.54+0.27vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.48-0.66vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University-0.46+0.81vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-1.20-1.58vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.01-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Brown University3.270.5%1st Place
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2.27Tufts University2.540.3%1st Place
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2.34Northeastern University2.480.2%1st Place
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4.81Sacred Heart University-0.460.0%1st Place
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5.42Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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4.45McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Allman | 49.8% | 32.4% | 15.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 26.2% | 29.3% | 36.0% | 8.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 21.9% | 32.4% | 36.7% | 8.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Topher Tortolani | 0.7% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 25.7% | 42.0% | 25.0% |
| Earl Lin | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 11.7% | 22.7% | 62.4% |
| Simon Li | 1.1% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 44.1% | 34.1% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.