← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.27+0.70vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.54+0.28vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.48-1.66vs Predicted
-
5McGill University-0.01-0.57vs Predicted
-
7Wesleyan University-1.20-1.58vs Predicted
-
9Sacred Heart University-0.46-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.7Brown University3.270.5%1st Place
-
2.28Tufts University2.540.3%1st Place
-
2.34Northeastern University2.480.2%1st Place
-
4.43McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
-
5.42Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
-
4.82Sacred Heart University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Allman | 49.9% | 32.3% | 15.4% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 26.1% | 28.9% | 36.8% | 7.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 21.9% | 31.9% | 37.0% | 8.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Simon Li | 1.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 41.2% | 36.0% | 12.1% |
| Earl Lin | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 12.1% | 22.1% | 62.5% |
| Topher Tortolani | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 28.4% | 40.5% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.