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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Tufts University2.30+0.15vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.48-1.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82-1.40vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.01-0.55vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-1.20-1.49vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University0.12-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Tufts University2.300.3%1st Place
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1.93Northeastern University2.480.4%1st Place
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2.6Brown University1.820.2%1st Place
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4.45McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.51Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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4.36Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Levinson | 32.0% | 32.2% | 26.9% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Becker Awqatty | 43.0% | 29.6% | 20.0% | 6.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 19.5% | 25.4% | 35.3% | 15.4% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Simon Li | 2.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 28.5% | 40.3% | 15.5% |
| Earl Lin | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 71.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 2.6% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 33.9% | 36.7% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.