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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.33+6.92vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California-0.01+4.97vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.74+2.90vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University0.53+1.73vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.68-0.15vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+1.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.70+2.63vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.58+0.64vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.93+4.58vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-5.14vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+2.18vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.82+1.13vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.62-3.83vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40-5.92vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.46-2.67vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.39-6.86vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92University of California at San Diego-0.336.2%1st Place
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6.97University of Southern California-0.018.9%1st Place
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5.9Arizona State University0.7410.1%1st Place
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5.73San Diego State University0.5312.5%1st Place
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4.85University of California at San Diego0.6814.5%1st Place
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7.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.276.6%1st Place
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9.63University of California at San Diego-0.702.6%1st Place
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8.64University of California at San Diego-0.585.1%1st Place
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13.58University of California at San Diego-1.931.1%1st Place
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4.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8314.7%1st Place
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13.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.451.1%1st Place
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13.13University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.9%1st Place
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9.17Arizona State University-0.623.6%1st Place
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8.08University of California at Santa Cruz-0.405.1%1st Place
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12.33University of California at San Diego-1.461.4%1st Place
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9.14Arizona State University-0.393.8%1st Place
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12.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.801.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Franck | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Eleanor Desai | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barton | 14.5% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Sean Lipps | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Weil | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 24.9% |
| Jack Kisling | 14.7% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 18.6% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 20.6% |
| Gavin Hirz | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Schackel | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.