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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Brown University1.82+0.65vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.30-0.87vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.01+0.38vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.48-3.02vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-2.63vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.20-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Brown University1.820.2%1st Place
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2.13Tufts University2.300.3%1st Place
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4.38McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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1.98Northeastern University2.480.4%1st Place
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4.37Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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5.49Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Secondo | 20.2% | 23.0% | 34.4% | 16.9% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 33.8% | 31.6% | 24.4% | 8.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Simon Li | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 31.2% | 37.0% | 15.1% |
| Becker Awqatty | 38.4% | 33.1% | 22.3% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Brian Reilly | 3.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 30.5% | 36.1% | 15.6% |
| Earl Lin | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 7.9% | 19.6% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.