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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.77+0.90vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.52+0.09vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.27-1.62vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.18-2.47vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.86-2.25vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.55-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Brown University1.770.4%1st Place
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2.09Tufts University1.520.4%1st Place
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3.38McGill University0.270.1%1st Place
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3.53Northeastern University0.180.1%1st Place
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4.75Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.35Wesleyan University-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Sudol | 41.9% | 34.5% | 16.7% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Pfosi | 37.0% | 30.6% | 21.4% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Elyse Surette-DiMuzio | 10.6% | 14.2% | 25.7% | 29.5% | 16.6% | 3.4% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 7.7% | 12.9% | 24.4% | 32.4% | 18.7% | 3.9% |
| Colby Jennings | 1.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 15.1% | 38.8% | 30.4% |
| William Thomas | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 9.2% | 22.3% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.