← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1San Diego State University0.53+4.62vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+5.15vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego0.68+1.85vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California-0.01+2.94vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University0.74+0.86vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-0.58+2.68vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-0.33+0.84vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-1.46+4.21vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-4.12vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-0.70-0.40vs Predicted
-
11Arizona State University-0.62-1.75vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles-1.82+1.15vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University-0.39-3.89vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80-0.81vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego-1.93-1.53vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40-7.83vs Predicted
-
17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.62San Diego State University0.5310.7%1st Place
-
7.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.277.3%1st Place
-
4.85University of California at San Diego0.6813.8%1st Place
-
6.94University of Southern California-0.018.2%1st Place
-
5.86Arizona State University0.7411.5%1st Place
-
8.68University of California at San Diego-0.584.5%1st Place
-
7.84University of California at San Diego-0.336.2%1st Place
-
12.21University of California at San Diego-1.462.0%1st Place
-
4.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8314.0%1st Place
-
9.6University of California at San Diego-0.704.7%1st Place
-
9.25Arizona State University-0.623.9%1st Place
-
13.15University of California at Los Angeles-1.821.4%1st Place
-
9.11Arizona State University-0.393.9%1st Place
-
13.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.801.2%1st Place
-
13.47University of California at San Diego-1.931.4%1st Place
-
8.17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.404.6%1st Place
-
13.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Hopkins | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barton | 13.8% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Desai | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 11.9% |
| Jack Kisling | 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Gavin Hirz | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 18.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Schackel | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 19.9% |
| Joseph Weil | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 23.0% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.