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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.52+1.16vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.77-0.14vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.27+0.38vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.18-2.49vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.86-2.25vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.55-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Tufts University1.520.3%1st Place
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1.86Brown University1.770.5%1st Place
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3.38McGill University0.270.1%1st Place
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3.51Northeastern University0.180.1%1st Place
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4.75Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.35Wesleyan University-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Pfosi | 31.2% | 36.4% | 21.0% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Sudol | 46.9% | 29.0% | 17.0% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Elyse Surette-DiMuzio | 10.6% | 14.1% | 25.8% | 29.4% | 16.8% | 3.3% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 8.2% | 13.0% | 24.6% | 31.6% | 18.6% | 4.0% |
| Colby Jennings | 1.9% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 38.6% | 30.5% |
| William Thomas | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 9.6% | 22.2% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.