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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Tufts University1.52+0.14vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.77-1.15vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.18-1.49vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.27-2.58vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-1.55-1.63vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.86-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Tufts University1.520.3%1st Place
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1.85Brown University1.770.5%1st Place
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3.51Northeastern University0.180.1%1st Place
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3.42McGill University0.270.1%1st Place
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5.37Wesleyan University-1.550.0%1st Place
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4.71Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Pfosi | 31.5% | 36.1% | 21.7% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Sudol | 47.2% | 29.3% | 16.4% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 9.4% | 13.0% | 23.5% | 30.4% | 19.0% | 4.7% |
| Elyse Surette-DiMuzio | 8.6% | 15.3% | 25.5% | 30.2% | 17.1% | 3.3% |
| William Thomas | 0.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 20.8% | 64.0% |
| Colby Jennings | 2.5% | 3.7% | 8.8% | 18.0% | 39.3% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.