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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.77+0.89vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.52-0.91vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.27-0.61vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-1.55-0.70vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.18-3.37vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.86-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Brown University1.770.4%1st Place
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2.09Tufts University1.520.4%1st Place
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3.39McGill University0.270.1%1st Place
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5.3Wesleyan University-1.550.0%1st Place
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3.63Northeastern University0.180.1%1st Place
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4.71Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Sudol | 42.2% | 35.2% | 15.7% | 5.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Pfosi | 36.8% | 31.2% | 20.7% | 9.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Elyse Surette-DiMuzio | 10.1% | 13.8% | 27.9% | 27.4% | 17.2% | 3.6% |
| William Thomas | 0.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 22.3% | 60.1% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 8.0% | 13.0% | 21.3% | 30.5% | 20.2% | 7.0% |
| Colby Jennings | 2.3% | 3.9% | 9.2% | 18.3% | 37.6% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.