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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.51+6.33vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+5.91vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.38+1.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.15+2.31vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.90+3.66vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.41+0.44vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+1.53vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.19-2.22vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+1.25vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43+0.49vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.91-2.32vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.720.00vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.63-1.64vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.13-4.73vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-4.64vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.41-5.49vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.87-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33University of California at San Diego-0.517.0%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Santa Cruz-0.596.5%1st Place
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4.29University of Southern California0.3820.4%1st Place
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6.31University of California at San Diego-0.158.8%1st Place
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8.66University of California at San Diego-0.905.0%1st Place
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6.44Arizona State University-0.4110.5%1st Place
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8.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.944.7%1st Place
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5.78San Diego State University-0.1911.2%1st Place
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10.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.953.5%1st Place
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10.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.432.9%1st Place
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8.68Arizona State University-0.914.8%1st Place
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12.0University of California at San Diego-1.721.9%1st Place
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11.36University of California at Los Angeles-1.631.9%1st Place
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9.27University of California at San Diego-1.134.1%1st Place
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10.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.483.2%1st Place
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10.51University of California at San Diego-1.413.0%1st Place
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14.84Arizona State University-2.870.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Keller | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Martin | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Edward Ansart | 20.4% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emma Kalway | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Briar | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Burton | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Walden Hillegass | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| Sean Kenealy | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 11.8% |
| Aidan Araoz | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 8.1% |
| Ian Johnston | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Colin Thompson | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.