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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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3Brown University1.76-1.09vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.52-1.92vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.18-2.51vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.27-3.57vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.86-3.26vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.55-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Brown University1.760.4%1st Place
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2.08Tufts University1.520.4%1st Place
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3.49Northeastern University0.180.1%1st Place
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3.43McGill University0.270.1%1st Place
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4.74Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.34Wesleyan University-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Swanson | 41.9% | 34.2% | 16.8% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Pfosi | 37.2% | 31.0% | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 9.1% | 13.5% | 23.7% | 31.2% | 17.6% | 4.9% |
| Elyse Surette-DiMuzio | 8.6% | 13.8% | 26.6% | 30.9% | 16.9% | 3.2% |
| Colby Jennings | 1.9% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 39.2% | 30.2% |
| William Thomas | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 9.5% | 22.8% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.