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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.76+0.91vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.52-0.92vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.18-0.49vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.27-2.56vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-1.55-1.64vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.86-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Brown University1.760.4%1st Place
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2.08Tufts University1.520.4%1st Place
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3.51Northeastern University0.180.1%1st Place
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3.44McGill University0.270.1%1st Place
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5.36Wesleyan University-1.550.0%1st Place
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4.71Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Swanson | 41.6% | 34.4% | 17.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Pfosi | 37.5% | 30.4% | 21.7% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 9.0% | 13.8% | 23.4% | 30.1% | 18.9% | 4.8% |
| Elyse Surette-DiMuzio | 8.5% | 14.1% | 25.9% | 31.3% | 17.0% | 3.2% |
| William Thomas | 0.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 20.6% | 64.0% |
| Colby Jennings | 2.6% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 18.3% | 39.4% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.