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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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3Sacred Heart University-0.95+1.77vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.76-2.03vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.27-1.59vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.18-2.43vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.55-2.65vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.81-7.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Sacred Heart University-0.950.0%1st Place
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1.97Brown University1.760.4%1st Place
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3.41McGill University0.270.1%1st Place
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3.57Northeastern University0.180.1%1st Place
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5.35Wesleyan University-1.550.0%1st Place
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1.93Tufts University1.810.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Horne | 2.7% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 16.6% | 39.3% | 30.3% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 39.5% | 34.2% | 17.8% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Elyse Surette-DiMuzio | 10.2% | 13.9% | 25.8% | 29.7% | 16.0% | 4.4% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 7.8% | 10.4% | 25.9% | 33.7% | 17.4% | 4.8% |
| William Thomas | 0.9% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 25.0% | 60.2% |
| Pierre DuPont | 38.9% | 36.1% | 18.7% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.