← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California0.38+3.25vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego-0.15+4.35vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+7.12vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-1.41+6.43vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University-0.41+1.31vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+1.83vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-0.51+0.42vs Predicted
-
8San Diego State University-0.19-2.32vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University-0.91-0.43vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-1.72+1.66vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.65vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-1.88vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-0.90-4.53vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-5.82vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-2.48-1.44vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-5.92vs Predicted
-
17Arizona State University-2.87-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.25University of Southern California0.3818.9%1st Place
-
6.35University of California at San Diego-0.1510.1%1st Place
-
10.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.953.7%1st Place
-
10.43University of California at San Diego-1.413.2%1st Place
-
6.31Arizona State University-0.419.6%1st Place
-
7.83University of California at Santa Cruz-0.595.2%1st Place
-
7.42University of California at San Diego-0.516.6%1st Place
-
5.68San Diego State University-0.1911.8%1st Place
-
8.57Arizona State University-0.915.5%1st Place
-
11.66University of California at San Diego-1.721.9%1st Place
-
9.35University of California at San Diego-1.133.0%1st Place
-
10.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.483.5%1st Place
-
8.47University of California at San Diego-0.904.5%1st Place
-
8.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.947.0%1st Place
-
13.56University of California at Los Angeles-2.480.9%1st Place
-
10.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.433.6%1st Place
-
14.6Arizona State University-2.870.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Ansart | 18.9% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Mitchell Powers | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Martin | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Keller | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Burton | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean Kenealy | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 8.6% |
| Ian Johnston | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Colin Thompson | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Emma Kalway | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Briar | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 25.9% |
| Walden Hillegass | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 16.8% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.