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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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3Brown University1.76-1.02vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.81-2.12vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University-0.95-0.27vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.18-2.47vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.27-4.45vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.55-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Brown University1.760.4%1st Place
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1.88Tufts University1.810.4%1st Place
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4.73Sacred Heart University-0.950.0%1st Place
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3.53Northeastern University0.180.1%1st Place
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3.55McGill University0.270.1%1st Place
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5.32Wesleyan University-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Swanson | 36.4% | 38.1% | 18.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Pierre DuPont | 44.1% | 31.5% | 17.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Horne | 2.7% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 16.6% | 38.5% | 29.8% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 7.5% | 12.2% | 25.3% | 33.3% | 17.9% | 3.8% |
| Elyse Surette-DiMuzio | 8.0% | 11.9% | 26.9% | 30.0% | 17.0% | 6.2% |
| William Thomas | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 10.1% | 23.1% | 60.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.