Race 1A

stoney-burke-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Gregory Dair 12.8% 13.7% 13.7% 15.0% 15.4% 10.4% 12.3% 6.2% 0.5%
Adam Pokras 29.0% 23.0% 17.7% 13.1% 8.5% 5.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1%
John Ortel 9.5% 12.5% 13.6% 13.9% 14.7% 14.4% 13.6% 6.3% 1.5%
Philip Gordon 9.9% 11.6% 11.4% 12.9% 14.6% 15.4% 14.1% 8.2% 1.9%
Cameron Walsh 9.5% 11.1% 13.2% 12.4% 12.8% 14.6% 13.9% 9.2% 3.3%
Madeline Kennedy 17.1% 15.9% 16.3% 15.8% 14.5% 11.0% 6.9% 2.1% 0.4%
Eliza Pearce 1.1% 1.4% 2.2% 2.2% 2.5% 4.4% 7.1% 19.1% 60.0%
Scott Doyle 8.2% 7.8% 8.6% 10.7% 12.6% 15.9% 17.0% 13.2% 6.0%
Ian Spilman 2.9% 3.0% 3.3% 4.0% 4.4% 8.8% 12.4% 34.9% 26.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.