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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.38+3.17vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University-0.19+3.73vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.51+4.31vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.41+2.37vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.15+1.32vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.41+4.31vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.90+1.43vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-0.21vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+1.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.72+1.64vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-0.88vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-2.48+1.66vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.13-3.73vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.91-5.53vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-6.58vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-5.65vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.87-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17University of Southern California0.3817.9%1st Place
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5.73San Diego State University-0.1910.8%1st Place
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7.31University of California at San Diego-0.517.5%1st Place
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6.37Arizona State University-0.4110.8%1st Place
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6.32University of California at San Diego-0.159.8%1st Place
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10.31University of California at San Diego-1.413.0%1st Place
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8.43University of California at San Diego-0.905.4%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Santa Cruz-0.596.5%1st Place
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10.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.953.4%1st Place
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11.64University of California at San Diego-1.722.4%1st Place
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10.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.483.8%1st Place
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13.66University of California at Los Angeles-2.480.8%1st Place
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9.27University of California at San Diego-1.133.5%1st Place
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8.47Arizona State University-0.915.0%1st Place
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8.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.945.3%1st Place
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10.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.433.2%1st Place
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14.56Arizona State University-2.870.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Ansart | 17.9% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Burton | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Keller | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tobie Bloom | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Emma Kalway | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Martin | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Michael Nodini | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 9.8% |
| Colin Thompson | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 27.6% |
| Ian Johnston | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Sean Kenealy | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 16.7% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.