Race 2A

stoney-burke-regatta

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
John Ortel 11.1% 13.1% 11.7% 12.4% 17.0% 12.6% 14.4% 6.0% 1.7%
Philip Gordon 7.3% 10.3% 10.4% 13.7% 16.0% 14.8% 14.2% 9.9% 3.4%
Adam Pokras 31.0% 23.2% 17.6% 12.8% 8.6% 4.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Madeline Kennedy 17.1% 17.2% 18.5% 13.9% 13.9% 9.0% 7.6% 2.2% 0.6%
Cameron Walsh 9.9% 11.0% 12.3% 13.3% 12.2% 14.8% 14.1% 9.7% 2.7%
Eliza Pearce 1.2% 1.2% 1.9% 2.2% 3.9% 4.3% 6.6% 20.2% 58.5%
Gregory Dair 11.5% 14.4% 13.9% 16.2% 13.6% 14.8% 9.1% 5.4% 1.1%
Ian Spilman 3.1% 2.1% 3.7% 4.7% 3.9% 8.5% 13.1% 32.2% 28.7%
Scott Doyle 7.8% 7.5% 10.0% 10.8% 10.9% 16.8% 18.8% 14.1% 3.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.