Race 3A

stoney-burke-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gregory Dair 13.3% 12.9% 13.3% 12.2% 13.7% 10.3% 11.1% 8.4% 3.8% 1.0%
John Ortel 10.4% 12.0% 12.3% 10.7% 12.2% 14.5% 11.3% 10.9% 4.4% 1.3%
Adam Pokras 29.7% 21.3% 17.2% 14.6% 8.7% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Philip Gordon 8.1% 10.9% 11.1% 12.3% 12.3% 13.8% 13.4% 10.8% 5.4% 1.9%
Cameron Walsh 9.4% 8.9% 9.5% 12.2% 12.5% 14.2% 13.7% 9.8% 8.0% 1.8%
Ian Spilman 2.8% 3.6% 3.1% 3.0% 4.9% 7.3% 7.8% 13.3% 28.5% 25.7%
Madeline Kennedy 14.6% 17.2% 14.6% 14.9% 14.6% 9.5% 7.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.2%
Scott Doyle 6.6% 7.7% 9.7% 9.5% 10.4% 14.0% 14.7% 12.8% 10.5% 4.1%
Eliza Pearce 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 2.3% 2.4% 3.0% 5.4% 7.7% 19.7% 55.4%
Peter Bailey 3.9% 4.0% 7.8% 8.3% 8.3% 9.1% 12.7% 20.3% 17.0% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.