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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.15+5.40vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.38+2.32vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-0.41+3.44vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+3.70vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.13+4.47vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.90+2.64vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+3.11vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.91+0.63vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.51-1.75vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.72+1.90vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-0.52vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.19-6.21vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-4.53vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.63-2.69vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.41-4.57vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-5.20vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.87-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4University of California at San Diego-0.159.3%1st Place
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4.32University of Southern California0.3817.8%1st Place
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6.44Arizona State University-0.418.2%1st Place
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7.7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.596.5%1st Place
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9.47University of California at San Diego-1.134.2%1st Place
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8.64University of California at San Diego-0.905.1%1st Place
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10.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.953.6%1st Place
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8.63Arizona State University-0.915.8%1st Place
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7.25University of California at San Diego-0.517.5%1st Place
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11.9University of California at San Diego-1.722.1%1st Place
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10.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.433.6%1st Place
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5.79San Diego State University-0.1911.5%1st Place
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8.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.945.3%1st Place
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11.31University of California at Los Angeles-1.632.4%1st Place
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10.43University of California at San Diego-1.414.0%1st Place
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10.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.482.6%1st Place
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14.85Arizona State University-2.870.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobie Bloom | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 17.8% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Martin | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ian Johnston | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Emma Kalway | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% |
| Sean Kenealy | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Keller | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Nodini | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 11.1% |
| Walden Hillegass | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 4.7% |
| Morgan Burton | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Araoz | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 8.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 4.5% |
| Colin Thompson | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 5.7% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.