Race 4A

stoney-burke-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Adam Pokras 31.9% 24.1% 14.6% 11.7% 7.3% 4.8% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Gregory Dair 11.3% 11.1% 15.6% 13.3% 12.7% 13.4% 9.9% 7.3% 5.0% 0.4%
Madeline Kennedy 14.9% 15.7% 15.1% 14.5% 13.6% 11.5% 7.4% 4.6% 2.4% 0.3%
Peter Bailey 3.4% 5.0% 6.7% 6.2% 10.1% 10.7% 13.2% 19.6% 16.7% 8.4%
Cameron Walsh 9.4% 9.8% 10.1% 10.9% 12.7% 13.1% 13.5% 11.2% 6.8% 2.5%
Philip Gordon 10.2% 10.7% 10.1% 13.1% 11.1% 12.2% 12.8% 12.4% 5.8% 1.6%
John Ortel 8.8% 12.3% 13.2% 14.0% 12.5% 12.7% 12.2% 8.3% 4.6% 1.4%
Ian Spilman 2.5% 1.9% 4.1% 3.9% 5.2% 6.2% 9.2% 11.9% 29.5% 25.6%
Scott Doyle 6.4% 8.3% 9.2% 10.0% 11.3% 12.6% 14.3% 14.3% 9.7% 3.9%
Eliza Pearce 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 2.4% 3.5% 2.8% 3.9% 8.9% 19.1% 55.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.