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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.15+5.31vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.38+2.33vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University-0.19+2.77vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.41+2.63vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.90+3.60vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.13+3.58vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+3.05vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.72+3.98vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.41+1.45vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.51-2.50vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.91-2.31vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-1.49vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.63-1.76vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-5.66vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-4.61vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-8.19vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.87-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31University of California at San Diego-0.1510.2%1st Place
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4.33University of Southern California0.3819.1%1st Place
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5.77San Diego State University-0.1910.1%1st Place
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6.63Arizona State University-0.418.6%1st Place
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8.6University of California at San Diego-0.905.3%1st Place
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9.58University of California at San Diego-1.133.8%1st Place
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10.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.954.3%1st Place
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11.98University of California at San Diego-1.721.9%1st Place
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10.45University of California at San Diego-1.413.1%1st Place
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7.5University of California at San Diego-0.516.2%1st Place
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8.69Arizona State University-0.915.3%1st Place
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10.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.433.5%1st Place
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11.24University of California at Los Angeles-1.632.8%1st Place
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8.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.945.5%1st Place
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10.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.482.8%1st Place
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7.81University of California at Santa Cruz-0.597.0%1st Place
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14.81Arizona State University-2.870.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobie Bloom | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Edward Ansart | 19.1% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Burton | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kalway | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Ian Johnston | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Macy Rowe | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.2% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| Andrew Keller | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Sean Kenealy | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Walden Hillegass | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 5.0% |
| Aidan Araoz | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 8.2% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Colin Thompson | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 4.4% |
| Ryan Martin | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 13.1% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.