Race 5A

stoney-burke-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Philip Gordon 9.8% 9.6% 11.3% 12.8% 11.3% 12.8% 13.0% 11.3% 6.3% 1.8%
John Ortel 10.7% 11.1% 12.7% 11.8% 14.7% 13.4% 9.9% 8.7% 5.8% 1.2%
Adam Pokras 29.5% 23.1% 17.2% 12.7% 8.7% 5.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Gregory Dair 11.5% 11.9% 14.8% 14.6% 12.4% 11.6% 10.5% 8.0% 4.1% 0.6%
Madeline Kennedy 14.7% 17.1% 16.0% 13.5% 14.1% 9.5% 7.4% 4.9% 2.6% 0.2%
Peter Bailey 5.8% 4.6% 5.1% 8.3% 8.2% 10.6% 13.5% 15.8% 20.2% 7.9%
Ian Spilman 1.8% 2.0% 3.3% 3.4% 4.4% 6.8% 9.7% 14.4% 28.0% 26.2%
Eliza Pearce 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 2.1% 2.8% 3.0% 6.0% 8.5% 17.0% 56.5%
Scott Doyle 7.1% 8.8% 7.2% 10.0% 11.6% 13.4% 13.0% 15.9% 9.4% 3.6%
Cameron Walsh 8.1% 10.7% 10.4% 10.8% 11.8% 13.8% 14.2% 11.7% 6.5% 2.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.