Race 6A

stoney-burke-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cameron Walsh 9.5% 10.6% 12.3% 9.9% 11.3% 11.8% 13.6% 10.9% 8.3% 1.8%
Gregory Dair 11.3% 12.1% 13.6% 14.5% 14.0% 10.6% 11.7% 7.5% 3.9% 0.8%
Madeline Kennedy 15.6% 14.5% 16.2% 13.5% 14.2% 12.1% 6.9% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4%
Adam Pokras 30.1% 22.6% 18.1% 12.0% 8.3% 4.7% 2.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Philip Gordon 9.7% 10.2% 9.8% 13.0% 11.4% 15.1% 12.3% 10.2% 6.3% 2.0%
John Ortel 11.6% 11.4% 10.9% 13.6% 12.5% 13.6% 10.8% 9.2% 5.2% 1.2%
Scott Doyle 5.0% 8.8% 8.4% 9.6% 12.8% 12.6% 15.3% 15.3% 8.5% 3.7%
Peter Bailey 3.8% 6.6% 6.1% 7.4% 8.1% 10.6% 13.0% 18.0% 17.0% 9.4%
Ian Spilman 2.1% 2.2% 3.3% 3.7% 4.9% 5.5% 8.8% 15.0% 29.5% 25.0%
Eliza Pearce 1.3% 1.0% 1.3% 2.8% 2.5% 3.4% 4.8% 8.0% 19.2% 55.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.