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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.38+2.98vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University-0.19+3.50vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+6.70vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.15+2.00vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+3.14vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.41+0.21vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.90+1.19vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43+2.07vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.91-0.74vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.35-0.11vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.13-2.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.41-1.83vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.63-2.25vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.83-2.60vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.72-3.47vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-6.13vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.87-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98University of Southern California0.3820.5%1st Place
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5.5San Diego State University-0.1911.8%1st Place
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9.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.953.8%1st Place
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6.0University of California at San Diego-0.1511.2%1st Place
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8.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.945.0%1st Place
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6.21Arizona State University-0.418.8%1st Place
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8.19University of California at San Diego-0.905.8%1st Place
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10.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.434.2%1st Place
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8.26Arizona State University-0.915.3%1st Place
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9.89University of California at San Diego-1.354.0%1st Place
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8.86University of California at San Diego-1.134.7%1st Place
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10.17University of California at San Diego-1.412.8%1st Place
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10.75University of California at Los Angeles-1.632.7%1st Place
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11.4University of California at San Diego-1.832.5%1st Place
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11.53University of California at San Diego-1.722.2%1st Place
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9.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.484.0%1st Place
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14.48Arizona State University-2.870.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Ansart | 20.5% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Burton | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Tobie Bloom | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Mitchell Powers | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Walden Hillegass | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
| Sean Kenealy | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Maximus Suh | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Ian Johnston | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Aidan Araoz | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.3% |
| Maria Guinness | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 9.8% |
| Michael Nodini | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 10.2% |
| Colin Thompson | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.