Race 7A

stoney-burke-regatta

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Adam Pokras 31.1% 24.3% 18.0% 11.7% 7.9% 4.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Gregory Dair 10.0% 12.9% 13.8% 16.9% 13.6% 12.5% 11.6% 7.0% 1.7%
John Ortel 11.4% 12.2% 12.7% 13.2% 14.1% 13.7% 13.2% 8.4% 1.1%
Scott Doyle 7.7% 8.2% 11.2% 11.3% 12.6% 13.2% 18.5% 13.2% 4.1%
Ian Spilman 2.7% 2.4% 3.6% 5.9% 6.0% 9.4% 12.4% 29.6% 28.0%
Philip Gordon 9.4% 10.2% 12.7% 13.2% 14.8% 15.5% 14.0% 8.4% 1.8%
Cameron Walsh 9.6% 9.9% 10.8% 12.2% 14.8% 16.0% 14.5% 9.9% 2.3%
Madeline Kennedy 16.6% 18.5% 15.1% 13.6% 13.3% 11.6% 7.0% 3.7% 0.6%
Eliza Pearce 1.5% 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 2.9% 3.8% 6.6% 19.3% 60.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.