← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Indiana University1.19+2.90vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University0.52+3.00vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.70+4.28vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University0.21+1.81vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire0.10+0.61vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College-0.37+1.30vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-0.93vs Predicted
-
8Rice University0.91-4.05vs Predicted
-
9Purdue University-0.49-2.76vs Predicted
-
10Bentley University-0.45-2.31vs Predicted
-
11Hope College-0.31-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.9Indiana University1.1917.5%1st Place
-
5.0Clemson University0.5211.7%1st Place
-
7.28Bates College-0.705.1%1st Place
-
5.81Marquette University0.218.0%1st Place
-
5.61University of New Hampshire0.109.7%1st Place
-
7.3Middlebury College-0.374.7%1st Place
-
6.07University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.027.2%1st Place
-
3.95Rice University0.9119.4%1st Place
-
6.24Purdue University-0.497.8%1st Place
-
7.69Bentley University-0.454.0%1st Place
-
7.15Hope College-0.314.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 17.5% | 18.8% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Luke Adams | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Colby Green | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 18.1% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 4.6% |
| Sam Harris | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Penelope Weekes | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 16.5% |
| William Delong | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% |
| Ricky Miller | 19.4% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Nok In Chan | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% |
| John O'Connell | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 23.8% |
| Caroline Henry | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.