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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.31+1.08vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.25+1.75vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.91+3.54vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University2.38-0.51vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.18+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois0.38+1.73vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University1.25-1.32vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame1.25-2.29vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago0.60-1.85vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-1.08+0.36vs Predicted
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12University of Saint Thomas-0.90-1.77vs Predicted
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13Denison University-0.41-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08University of Wisconsin3.310.4%1st Place
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3.75University of Minnesota2.250.1%1st Place
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6.54Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
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3.49Northwestern University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.96University of Michigan1.180.1%1st Place
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7.73University of Illinois0.380.0%1st Place
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5.68Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.71University of Notre Dame1.250.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Chicago0.600.0%1st Place
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10.36Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Saint Thomas-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.32Denison University-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Evensen | 42.9% | 27.3% | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thompson | 12.6% | 19.4% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 15.7% | 20.2% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Beriont | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Jamie Gay | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 2.7% |
| Aras Karaitis | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Paul Kaplan | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Colleen Mooney | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 22.0% | 42.5% |
| Eric Miller | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 27.0% | 35.3% |
| William Jaquinde | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 20.7% | 23.9% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.