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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.22vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon2.51+2.87vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.68-0.35vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.65+0.38vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.46-0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.46+1.97vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+0.21vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-2.73vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.04-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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2.65University of Hawaii3.680.3%1st Place
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4.38Stanford University2.650.1%1st Place
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4.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.460.1%1st Place
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7.97University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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5.27California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 12.5% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Philip Gordon | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 8.7% | 2.8% |
| Adam Pokras | 31.2% | 23.5% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Ortel | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Walsh | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Eliza Pearce | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 20.4% | 58.6% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 34.0% | 28.3% |
| Scott Doyle | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 4.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 17.3% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.