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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.29+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+5.62vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.76+4.96vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+0.85vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.07-0.16vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.37+2.61vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay1.63-1.27vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.83-2.75vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-4.47vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay1.63-4.27vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.02-6.10vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-0.03-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of Hawaii3.290.3%1st Place
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7.62University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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8.61California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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5.73California State University Monterey Bay1.630.1%1st Place
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5.25University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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4.53California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
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5.73California State University Monterey Bay1.630.1%1st Place
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4.9Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Foster | 34.0% | 23.1% | 18.7% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 21.4% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 22.1% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 11.4% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaili Swetland | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 19.9% | 41.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.