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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.15+4.99vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University-0.19+3.44vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-0.41+3.05vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+5.86vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.38-0.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.90+1.93vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.72+4.39vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.91+0.20vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43+0.97vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.83+1.43vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-2.87vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.35-1.96vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-3.07vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.13-4.89vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.41-4.69vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.63-5.27vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.87-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99University of California at San Diego-0.158.5%1st Place
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5.44San Diego State University-0.1913.4%1st Place
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6.05Arizona State University-0.4111.6%1st Place
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9.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.953.0%1st Place
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4.04University of Southern California0.3820.2%1st Place
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7.93University of California at San Diego-0.905.2%1st Place
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11.39University of California at San Diego-1.722.6%1st Place
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8.2Arizona State University-0.915.9%1st Place
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9.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.433.9%1st Place
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11.43University of California at San Diego-1.832.4%1st Place
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8.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.945.0%1st Place
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10.04University of California at San Diego-1.353.4%1st Place
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9.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.483.5%1st Place
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9.11University of California at San Diego-1.134.5%1st Place
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10.31University of California at San Diego-1.413.5%1st Place
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10.73University of California at Los Angeles-1.632.6%1st Place
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14.45Arizona State University-2.870.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobie Bloom | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Burton | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Edward Ansart | 20.2% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kalway | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Michael Nodini | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.8% |
| Sean Kenealy | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Maria Guinness | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 11.2% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Maximus Suh | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
| Colin Thompson | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Ian Johnston | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| Aidan Araoz | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 6.7% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.