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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+3.75vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+2.39vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.83+2.57vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.63+2.04vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.29-2.47vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.02-1.02vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.03+2.13vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.76-0.25vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.07-4.06vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay1.63-3.96vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-3.51vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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4.39California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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6.04California State University Monterey Bay1.630.1%1st Place
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2.53University of Hawaii3.290.3%1st Place
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4.98Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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4.94University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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6.04California State University Monterey Bay1.630.1%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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8.43California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 12.8% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| James Foster | 34.8% | 25.4% | 16.4% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 9.5% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kaili Swetland | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 42.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 19.3% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 22.2% | 25.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.