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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.15+5.03vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.38+1.87vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.90+5.05vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.19+1.26vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.41+0.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.41+4.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.94vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-0.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.35+0.65vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-0.42vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-1.26vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.83-0.79vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.91-4.96vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.48-0.63vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-2.87-0.60vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.72-4.71vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03University of California at San Diego-0.158.7%1st Place
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3.87University of Southern California0.3821.3%1st Place
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8.05University of California at San Diego-0.905.7%1st Place
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5.26San Diego State University-0.1914.3%1st Place
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5.98Arizona State University-0.419.4%1st Place
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10.03University of California at San Diego-1.413.0%1st Place
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8.94University of California at San Diego-1.134.8%1st Place
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7.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.946.5%1st Place
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9.65University of California at San Diego-1.354.3%1st Place
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9.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.953.0%1st Place
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9.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.483.6%1st Place
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11.21University of California at San Diego-1.832.4%1st Place
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8.04Arizona State University-0.915.5%1st Place
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13.37University of California at Los Angeles-2.481.5%1st Place
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14.4Arizona State University-2.870.5%1st Place
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11.29University of California at San Diego-1.722.1%1st Place
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9.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.433.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobie Bloom | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 21.3% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Morgan Burton | 14.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Ian Johnston | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Briar | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Maximus Suh | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Colin Thompson | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Maria Guinness | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 7.9% |
| Sean Kenealy | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 19.4% | 25.5% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 16.8% | 41.5% |
| Michael Nodini | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 7.2% |
| Walden Hillegass | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.