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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.02+3.64vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.07+2.61vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.83+1.06vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-0.81vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.29-3.58vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay1.63-1.44vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.08+0.29vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.76-1.78vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay1.63-4.44vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.03-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
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4.61University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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5.06University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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4.19California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
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2.42University of Hawaii3.290.4%1st Place
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5.56California State University Monterey Bay1.630.1%1st Place
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8.29California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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7.22University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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5.56California State University Monterey Bay1.630.1%1st Place
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8.51University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Kohrman | 10.8% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 12.9% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Foster | 36.0% | 26.0% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Marangola | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 27.1% | 36.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 22.1% | 21.5% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Kaili Swetland | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 24.7% | 43.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.