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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+3.43vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.07+2.65vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.29-0.54vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.02+0.65vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay1.63+0.46vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.76+1.18vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-2.76vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.83-2.90vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay1.63-3.54vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.08-1.67vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.03-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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4.65University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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2.46University of Hawaii3.290.4%1st Place
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4.65Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
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5.46California State University Monterey Bay1.630.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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4.24California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
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5.1University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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5.46California State University Monterey Bay1.630.1%1st Place
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8.33California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 12.1% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Foster | 35.8% | 22.6% | 18.2% | 13.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 19.9% | 23.9% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 10.9% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Marangola | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 12.7% | 28.6% | 36.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaili Swetland | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 12.1% | 24.0% | 43.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.