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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University-0.19+4.29vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.15+3.93vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.38+1.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.35+5.79vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.91+3.04vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.90+1.90vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.41-0.99vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+1.74vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43+0.67vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.19vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.13-2.05vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-2.30vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.72-1.85vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.83-2.61vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-2.87-0.74vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.48-2.57vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-9.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29San Diego State University-0.1913.1%1st Place
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5.93University of California at San Diego-0.1511.0%1st Place
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4.0University of Southern California0.3819.8%1st Place
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9.79University of California at San Diego-1.353.5%1st Place
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8.04Arizona State University-0.916.0%1st Place
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7.9University of California at San Diego-0.906.2%1st Place
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6.01Arizona State University-0.419.7%1st Place
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9.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.483.6%1st Place
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9.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.432.9%1st Place
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9.81University of California at San Diego-1.413.2%1st Place
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8.95University of California at San Diego-1.134.5%1st Place
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9.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.954.0%1st Place
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11.15University of California at San Diego-1.722.7%1st Place
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11.39University of California at San Diego-1.831.9%1st Place
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14.26Arizona State University-2.870.9%1st Place
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13.43University of California at Los Angeles-2.480.9%1st Place
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7.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.946.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Burton | 13.1% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 19.8% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximus Suh | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Sean Kenealy | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Emma Kalway | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Powers | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Walden Hillegass | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Ian Johnston | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Macy Rowe | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Michael Nodini | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.3% |
| Maria Guinness | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.0% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 41.0% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 20.5% | 25.6% |
| Nathan Briar | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.