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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+2.02vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.30+2.24vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.59-0.05vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.48-0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.80-2.38vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.33-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Salve Regina University0.4620.7%1st Place
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4.24University of Rhode Island0.308.6%1st Place
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2.95Northeastern University1.5921.3%1st Place
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3.9Boston University0.4812.0%1st Place
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2.62University of Rhode Island1.8028.1%1st Place
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4.26Brown University0.339.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 20.7% | 20.7% | 21.1% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 6.6% |
| Willem Weinberg | 8.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 22.1% | 30.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 21.3% | 21.7% | 20.5% | 18.4% | 12.6% | 5.3% |
| William Wiegand | 12.0% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 22.1% | 21.6% |
| Declan Botwinick | 28.1% | 25.5% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Keller Morrison | 9.2% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 21.7% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.