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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay1.63+4.03vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.83+2.82vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.07+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-1.13vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.74-1.24vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay1.63-1.97vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.02-3.81vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.76-2.33vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.03-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03California State University Monterey Bay1.630.1%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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3.79California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.2%1st Place
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4.02University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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3.87University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.2%1st Place
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4.76University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.03California State University Monterey Bay1.630.1%1st Place
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4.19Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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7.85University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Hurdle | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 17.4% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 15.1% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 16.9% | 20.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Icard | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 14.2% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 27.2% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaili Swetland | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 18.0% | 58.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.