Race 8B

stoney-burke-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Emelia Pelliccio 12.3% 12.4% 11.1% 12.1% 13.8% 13.2% 13.1% 9.6% 2.4% 0.0%
Ian Stokes 12.9% 15.1% 14.7% 14.0% 13.3% 11.8% 10.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.0%
Hanne Nagatani 15.3% 13.3% 15.0% 11.0% 13.0% 12.9% 12.2% 6.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Matthew Van Rensselaer 18.6% 17.5% 16.0% 15.4% 10.6% 9.8% 7.5% 3.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Mark Hurdle 9.7% 12.1% 12.1% 11.2% 12.1% 10.7% 14.2% 12.3% 5.6% 0.0%
Max Kohrman 14.4% 13.3% 13.8% 14.5% 12.2% 14.0% 10.3% 5.4% 2.1% 0.0%
Mitchell Icard 10.3% 10.0% 10.7% 14.0% 13.8% 13.5% 13.7% 9.9% 4.1% 0.0%
Mark Hurdle 9.7% 12.1% 12.1% 11.2% 12.1% 10.7% 14.2% 12.3% 5.6% 0.0%
Kaili Swetland 2.0% 1.9% 2.6% 2.8% 3.1% 4.2% 7.1% 16.4% 59.9% 0.0%
Ryan Fritsen 4.5% 4.4% 4.0% 5.0% 8.1% 9.9% 11.7% 30.4% 22.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.