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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+1.57vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59+0.90vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.30+1.33vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.33+0.34vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.48-1.12vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.46-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57University of Rhode Island1.8028.8%1st Place
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2.9Northeastern University1.5922.5%1st Place
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4.33University of Rhode Island0.307.7%1st Place
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4.34Brown University0.338.3%1st Place
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3.88Boston University0.4811.8%1st Place
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2.98Salve Regina University0.4620.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 28.8% | 24.9% | 20.2% | 15.4% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 22.5% | 21.8% | 22.0% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 5.2% |
| Willem Weinberg | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 23.4% | 32.2% |
| Keller Morrison | 8.3% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 21.6% | 33.0% |
| William Wiegand | 11.8% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 22.3% | 20.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 20.8% | 22.4% | 19.6% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.