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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College-0.37+6.22vs Predicted
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2Rice University0.91+1.97vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.70+4.36vs Predicted
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4Indiana University1.19-0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+1.05vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.52-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.10-1.35vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.21-2.22vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.31-1.68vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.45-2.40vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-0.49-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22Middlebury College-0.374.8%1st Place
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3.97Rice University0.9118.6%1st Place
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7.36Bates College-0.704.3%1st Place
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3.87Indiana University1.1918.8%1st Place
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6.05University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.027.6%1st Place
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4.99Clemson University0.5212.4%1st Place
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5.65University of New Hampshire0.108.9%1st Place
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5.78Marquette University0.218.8%1st Place
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7.32Hope College-0.314.5%1st Place
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7.6Bentley University-0.454.0%1st Place
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6.19Purdue University-0.497.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Penelope Weekes | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 17.8% |
Ricky Miller | 18.6% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
Colby Green | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 16.9% |
Nithya Balachander | 18.8% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
William Delong | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% |
Luke Adams | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
Sam Harris | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
Brian Zettlemoyer | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
Caroline Henry | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 16.9% |
John O'Connell | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 22.9% |
Nok In Chan | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.