← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Penelope Weekes 4.8% 5.4% 6.7% 7.1% 6.5% 7.6% 8.2% 10.8% 11.1% 14.0% 17.8%
Ricky Miller 18.6% 17.1% 13.8% 13.5% 10.5% 8.1% 7.0% 5.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.7%
Colby Green 4.3% 4.4% 5.4% 6.5% 6.8% 8.5% 9.5% 10.6% 12.6% 14.7% 16.9%
Nithya Balachander 18.8% 17.0% 16.7% 11.5% 10.8% 9.4% 6.8% 4.1% 3.1% 1.8% 0.2%
William Delong 7.6% 8.2% 8.6% 7.9% 9.3% 12.0% 11.8% 9.8% 10.1% 8.2% 6.5%
Luke Adams 12.4% 10.9% 11.2% 12.3% 11.3% 9.8% 10.2% 8.9% 6.7% 4.8% 1.4%
Sam Harris 8.9% 9.3% 9.2% 10.8% 11.2% 10.2% 10.3% 9.2% 9.8% 6.8% 4.3%
Brian Zettlemoyer 8.8% 8.3% 9.1% 10.0% 11.0% 10.6% 9.9% 10.6% 8.4% 8.1% 5.1%
Caroline Henry 4.5% 5.3% 6.2% 6.0% 7.1% 7.5% 8.3% 9.7% 12.5% 16.0% 16.9%
John O'Connell 4.0% 5.8% 4.9% 5.8% 6.0% 7.0% 7.5% 9.3% 12.4% 14.4% 22.9%
Nok In Chan 7.1% 8.2% 8.3% 8.8% 9.4% 9.3% 10.5% 11.2% 9.7% 10.2% 7.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.