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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.25+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.31+0.12vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University2.38+0.47vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.25+1.84vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.91+1.56vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago0.60+1.25vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.18-1.13vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois0.38-0.38vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University1.25-3.36vs Predicted
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11University of Saint Thomas-0.90-0.95vs Predicted
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12Denison University-0.41-2.59vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-1.08-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Minnesota2.250.2%1st Place
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2.12University of Wisconsin3.310.4%1st Place
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3.47Northwestern University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.84University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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6.56Ohio State University0.910.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Chicago0.600.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Michigan1.180.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Illinois0.380.0%1st Place
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5.64Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Saint Thomas-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.41Denison University-0.410.0%1st Place
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10.44Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Thompson | 15.5% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leif Evensen | 42.3% | 29.0% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 16.9% | 20.0% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Paul Kaplan | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Lauren Beriont | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jamie Gay | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
| Aras Karaitis | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Eric Miller | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 15.5% | 25.2% | 32.5% |
| William Jaquinde | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 12.6% | 20.3% | 23.7% | 17.5% |
| Colleen Mooney | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 26.2% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.